Hi:
Here are the Mon results:
[ATTACH=CONFIG]19486[/ATTACH]
For Tu:
[ATTACH]19487[/ATTACH]
Shawn
Printable View
Hi:
Here are the Mon results:
[ATTACH=CONFIG]19486[/ATTACH]
For Tu:
[ATTACH]19487[/ATTACH]
Shawn
[QUOTE=shawn_molodow;26247]Hi Trev,
Yes, I have access to the IBD 50.
Shawn[/QUOTE]
I appreciate your very valuable input and the amount of work you do but would it be possible to show a list of the IBD50 once a week ?
Thanks in advance.
Trev
[QUOTE=manucastle;26250]I appreciate your very valuable input and the amount of work you do but would it be possible to show a list of the IBD50 once a week ?
Thanks in advance.
Trev[/QUOTE]
Trev,
I am sorry, but IBD's list is proprietary to IBD and I do not believe that Shawn has been allowed by IBD to publish it.
Pascal
Hi:
For Tu the results are:
[ATTACH=CONFIG]19500[/ATTACH]
For Wed we are looking at:
[ATTACH]19499[/ATTACH]
Shawn
Hi-
For Wed, Aug 14, the results were:
[ATTACH=CONFIG]19513[/ATTACH]
For Th, Aug 15, we are tracking:
[ATTACH]19514[/ATTACH]
Shawn
Shawn,
Great work as always. Have you thought about a way to parse down the list or identify the most profitable to avoid lots of commissions?
Harry
[QUOTE=shawn_molodow;26269]Hi-
For Wed, Aug 14, the results were:
[ATTACH=CONFIG]19513[/ATTACH]
For Th, Aug 15, we are tracking:
[ATTACH]19514[/ATTACH]
Shawn[/QUOTE]
Hi Shawn,
Thanks for your excellent work which I am following with interest !
A couple of questions please :-
1. Have you generally found that the recent quarterly results have had positive or negative impact for the watchlist companies ? Would you tend to hold through results announcements ?
2. Is the holding period lengthening or shortening recently ?
Thanks in advance.
Trev
Hi Trev,
I have not carefully studied the relationship b/n ER's and LEV Leader names, but I have been somewhat surprised at how often LEV Leader names show up on the list just before ER's.
My sense from posting the #'s each night is that there is a bias towards more positive moves vs negatives moves the trading day after ER's for the LEV Leaders, but the success rate is certainly not 100% or even 90%, for sure..
The vast majority of the +10% gainers and -10% losers on the results I have posted during the last few weeks have been due to ER's. Something I will track next earnings cycle b/c until now I had assumed that a stock's LEV would taper off prior to ER's, i.e. Institutions would slow buying into ER's.
On hold periods, I think its been difficult to hold swing trades on individual names for more than a couple of weeks for me, and certainly, I have not held anything for more than 3 weeks. Since the May 22 highs, gains of more than 15% have been rare. e.g. we are looking at the MEM model probably going on a zero exposure today and the 20d MF is on a sell as of last night's close.
From the Jul 11 FTD until yesterday, Aug 14 .... there have been 25 trading days.. and, now we are looking at being in cash or short.. so, IMO, there has not been a long enough period of healthy tailwinds for swing traders to hold as long as I would like ..
I hope that helps you understand my impressions,
Shawn
[QUOTE=shawn_molodow;26281]Hi Trev,
I have not carefully studied the relationship b/n ER's and LEV Leader names, but I have been somewhat surprised at how often LEV Leader names show up on the list just before ER's.
My sense from posting the #'s each night is that there is a bias towards more positive moves vs negatives moves the trading day after ER's for the LEV Leaders, but the success rate is certainly not 100% or even 90%, for sure..
The vast majority of the +10% gainers and -10% losers on the results I have posted during the last few weeks have been due to ER's. Something I will track next earnings cycle b/c until now I had assumed that a stock's LEV would taper off prior to ER's, i.e. Institutions would slow buying into ER's.
On hold periods, I think its been difficult to hold swing trades on individual names for more than a couple of weeks for me, and certainly, I have not held anything for more than 3 weeks. Since the May 22 highs, gains of more than 15% have been rare. e.g. we are looking at the MEM model probably going on a zero exposure today and the 20d MF is on a sell as of last night's close.
From the Jul 11 FTD until yesterday, Aug 14 .... there have been 25 trading days.. and, now we are looking at being in cash or short.. so, IMO, there has not been a long enough period of healthy tailwinds for swing traders to hold as long as I would like ..
I hope that helps you understand my impressions,
Shawn[/QUOTE]
I find it a fascinating subject - if a stock is performing well just before earnings, does it generally figure that it will continue in the same direction after the results ? Is the prior performance a good indication of better than expected results.
On average do more strong stocks continue upwards after the results than downwards ?
I would imagine that the current general market direction will affect the answer.
Has anybody managed to do a long term test of this ? Any long term investors have actual trading evidence one way or the other ?
Trev
Hi-
Results for Th:
[ATTACH=CONFIG]19538[/ATTACH]
For Fri:
[ATTACH]19539[/ATTACH]
Take care,
Shawn